Se forem entusiastas da política americana e acompanharam todo o processo, as sondagens e a eleição ao detalhe, uma questão ficou no ar:
Como é que Clinton ganhou o Nevada?
Bem, se esta foi a maior surpresa da noite, antes de mais, Parabéns!
Nesse caso, talvez queiram ler este artigo:
A few weeks ago, they threatened to sue the Republican secretary of state if she didn’t extend registration deadlines to comply with federal law. She did.
And when the final registration figures came in, the Democrats had padded their lead to nearly 90,000 statewide, matching the 2012 numbers. All they had to do was overcome the enthusiasm gap by building up the raw vote totals, which is what they did.
But Team Reid did something else, too, which everyone has missed. Even though nonpartisan registration has grown faster than either major party, the Reid folks saw that happening and adjusted.
“Much of the nonpartisan registration that occurred this year was done by our side,” one Reidite told me. “Looking at the data, many of the nonpartisans who are voting are younger (20 percent), include people of color (11 percent Latino) and are new registrants (24 percent) as of yesterday.”
The math simply does not work for Trump unless he gets an extraordinary Election Day turnout and wins Tuesday by double digits.