Um elucidativo artigo de Federico Punzi publicado a 12/04 no Pajamas Media sobre o que se pode esperar de Berlusconi e Veltroni.
Nota: O autor usa “liberals” na acepção americana
Italy is still waiting for a Thatcher, a Reagan, or at least a Blair. The problems, for the most part, are the same as they were in England and America and the solutions are well-known: lower and simplified tax rates, a strong diet for government, less onerous bureaucracy, effective civil jurisdiction, labor-market and public utilities liberalization, welfare and pension system reforms, education based on merit and competition, and research and development funds.
But both Mr. Berlusconi and Mr. Veltroni are unlikely to accomplish the needed reforms to revive Italy’s staggering economy.
In his last term as Prime Minister in 2001-2006, Mr. Berlusconi failed to fix Italy’s economy. He promised tax cuts and liberalization, but results were insufficient. His current campaign isn’t signaling enough commitment to economic reforms. Judging by his statements (for example, his opposition to the sale of the Italian flag carrier — the government run airline Alitalia — to Air France-KLM), Mr. Berlusconi seems to be a corporatist and protectionist averse to free-market competition. His likely finance minister, Giulio Tremonti, has talked about lobbying the European Union for tariff barriers on Asian imports.
Mr. Berlusconi was elected in 1994 and 2001 mentioning Mrs. Thatcher as his political model. But these days he thinks of himself as a new Amintore Fanfani, one of the most important leaders of the Christian Democratic Party in the fifties and the sixties. Fanfani’s political activity was, for the most part, directed to a welfare and corporate system that he believed to be more in line with the social doctrine of the Catholic Church than the free market or socialism.
Ex-communist Veltroni is depicting himself as a “new season,” — a sort of Italian Barack Obama — but his outlook sounds like a soft dirigism (capitalism with a strong government element). His main focus in this campaign has been not to lose the consensus he currently enjoys in the Rainbow Left party. But he seems not to have broken through and gotten much support from the non-partisan and middle of the road voters. He can’t escape the burden of Mr. Prodi’s outgoing center-left government — both its failure and its unpopularity. This is especially due to the tax increases it imposed.
Both main parties offer similar plans that seem to have been written to reassure voters. They promise benefits, assistance, housing projects, higher pensions, and minimum wages — in short, big new spending plans. But both Mr. Berlusconi and Mr. Veltroni remain vague about reforms. Italy is a country neither for Thatcher nor for Blair. It is a country for economic liberals, both on the right and on the left.
The two main party’s plans and leaders are the best proof of that.
Pedro Sette-Câmara
André Azevedo Alves
Carlos Guimarães Pinto
Helder Ferreira
Bruno Garschagen
João Luís Pinto
LA
Bruno Alves
Miguel Botelho Moniz
ruicarmo
Miguel Noronha
Elizabete Dias
António Costa Amaral (AA)
LT
Rui Oliveira
BZ
dos ∫antos
André Abrantes Amaral
planca12
rui a.
Rodrigo Adão da Fonseca
Adolfo Mesquita Nunes
Michael Seufert
Luciano
Carlos M. Fernandes
Maria João Marques
jtcb
Nuno Branco
elisabetejoaquim
filipeabrantes
Tomás Belchior
Bruno Gonçalves
Ricardo G. Francisco
Tiago Loureiro
Ricardo Campelo de Magalhães
Filipe Faria
Ricardo Arroja
[...] vários artigos que garantiam que Berlusconi estava acabado. Infelizmente (embora não pelas mesmas razões dos articulistas) não é verdade. Comentários [...]
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